Kentucky Derby 152 · Road to Churchill Downs
Your morning briefing on the road to the Kentucky Derby
Edition No. 22 · Friday, May 1, 2026
🎙️ MONSTER PODCAST
Jerry Bailey and Randy Moss — 30K Views in 21 Hours
NBC's Jerry Bailey and Randy Moss sat down with PTF and JK for the Kentucky Derby Best Bets show — and it became the biggest ITM video of Derby week by a wide margin. If you haven't watched it yet, what are you waiting for?
▶ Watch: Derby Best Bets with Bailey and Moss →
🏇 OAKS NIGHT — PRIMETIME ON NBC
Kentucky Oaks Goes Under the Lights
For the first time in its 152 year history, the Kentucky Oaks goes off in primetime. NBC at 8 PM ET. Post time 8:40 PM ET. 14 fillies.
My verdict for Sky Sports Racing / At The Races: Zany on top, Always A Runner as the value play, Meaning on side. I'll play those three in exactas and have a goofy longshot to throw in the mix.
👉 Horse-by-Horse Guide: Kentucky Oaks
👉 Horse-by-Horse Guide: Kentucky Derby
👉 Horse-by-Horse Guide: American Turf Stakes
🌍 FOR INTERNATIONAL VIEWERS
Oaks live at 1:40 AM Saturday (Sky 415 / Virgin 512). Derby tomorrow at 11:57 PM. All ATR previews live and free.
🚨 FIELD UPDATE — FINAL (PROBABLY)
Two scratches: Silent Tactic, Fulleffort. Great White and Ocelli in. Field locked at 20.
Updated odds: Renegade 9-2 · So Happy 6-1 · Commandment 7-1 · Further Ado 7-1 · The Puma 8-1 · Chief Wallabee 9-1 · Emerging Market 11-1 · Danon Bourbon 14-1
So Happy from 15-1 ML to 6-1 is the market story of the week.
🌧️ WEATHER
Rain possible today. If we get a wet track tomorrow, that changes the handicapping. We'll update in the morning.
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👉 Browse all 19 free contender profiles
📋 ICYMI
👉 Why You Can't Bet the Derby on Kalshi
👉 Can You Win the Derby From the Rail?
👉 Is Todd Pletcher Actually Bad in the Derby?
👉 Sean Boarman's Derby Breakdown — Plus subs get full LP5 picks
👉 Monster Pod Full Compilation — every horse
🥃 DERBY DRAM No. 5
Woodford Reserve Double Oaked Single Barrel — Barrel 0389
MSRP ~$75 · 47.43% ABV / 94.86 proof · Versailles, KY
Woodford's Double Oaked process takes their standard bourbon and finishes it in a second barrel — heavily toasted, lightly charred. Most Double Oaked pours rich and sweet. Barrel 0389 didn't read the script. This single cask skews dry and tannic — dried plum, dried orange peel, a persistent leather note — with vanilla present but muted. The toasting usually produces sweetness; here it produced structure. Pleasantly atypical, and a reminder that single barrel variation is real and worth chasing.
Tomorrow we close out Derby Dram week with two: Maker's Mark turned up to 11 — the Cellar Aged is what happens when you give Kentucky's most iconic bottle more time and more proof. And the one you've been waiting for all week: Pappy Van Winkle 15 Year on the biggest day in horse racing. See you at the finish line.
❓ Today's Open Question
It's Oaks Day. The fillies go first. Who do you like tonight — and are you using the Oaks to set up your Derby Day Pick 6?
PREVIOUS EDITIONS
Final Answers, Two Scratches, and Kalshi
Edition 21 · April 30
Can You Win the Kentucky Derby From the Rail?
Edition 20 · April 29
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